This Introduction was prepared as part of the Environ-mental
Epidemiology Planning Project of the Health Effects Institute, September
1990 - September 1992.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
In recent years, the attention of the scientific community and of the
public at large has focused more on environmental causes of human disease.
In response, many branches of science have contributed to the study of the
health effects of environmental pollutants. Epidemiology, the study of the
distribution and determinants of human disease, has played a unique and
critical role in this effort. Data from well-designed and carefully executed
epidemiologic studies can measure the effects of pollutant exposures under
the conditions most relevant to human experience and therefore can be especially
informative about the causes of human disease. For this reason, epidemiologic
data can make a unique contribution to regulatory decisions.
However, epidemiologic research on the health effects of environmental
pollutants has proven difficult to conduct. In epidemiologic studies, the
amount of exposure sustained by study subjects and the conditions under
which that exposure occurs generally are beyond the direct control of the
investigator. Human populations are exposed to multiple pollutants whose
individual, let alone joint, effects are not known. Under these conditions,
inaccurate measurement of exposure and the effects of extraneous factors
on disease occurrence often present major threats to study validity. Epidemiologic
research strategies and methods for improving exposure assessment and for
measuring health effects under such real world conditions are still in their
infancy; their maturation could provide the basis for substantial gains
in knowledge about environmental causes of human disease, which, in turn,
could provide a more scientifically sound basis for public health policy.
In December 1989, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) asked
the Health Effects Institute (HEI) to identify research needs and opportunities
in environmental epidemiology. Founded in 1980, HEI is a nonprofit research
institute that funds research on the health effects of automotive emissions
with funds provided in equal amounts by the EPA and the automotive industry.
HEI operates according to a mechanism designed to assure autonomy in the
setting of research priorities and the disbursement of funds.
In response to the EPA's request, HEI conducted an environmental epidemiology
planning project that brought together epidemiologists and other health
and environmental scientists to address four selected areas of epidemiologic
research. Three of these areas, electric and magnetic fields, indoor air
pollution and other complex mixtures, and tropospheric ozone, involve environmental
exposures of current scientific and regulatory interest. The fourth, methodologic
issues, explores issues in the design and conduct of research that have
implications for the study of health effects of many environmental agents.
The four general objectives of the planning project were a) to
characterize the state of, and to identify gaps in, current knowledge in
selected areas of environmental epidemiology and methodologic issues relevant
to the design, conduct, analysis, and interpretation of environmental epidemiologic
studies; b) to identify research needs and opportunities in the selected
areas of environmental epidemiology; c) to communicate the results
of the planning effort to the scientific and regulatory communities and
the general public; and d) to aid HEI in the development of its own
research programs in these research areas.
Working groups were assembled to address each of the four areas of research
and were asked to produce working papers (Appendix A). Drafts of working
papers were discussed at workshops held during the spring and summer of
1991, and revisions were made based upon these discussions. Revised papers
were reviewed by two external reviewers and an internal HEI reviewer (Appendix
B). The results of these efforts are contained in the four sets of collected
papers that are published in this issue.
The project was designed to afford key researchers the opportunity to
address important problems in environmental epidemiology while exploring
new avenues for epidemiologic research. HEI did not ask the working groups
to arrive at a consensus about their areas of research but rather, to quote
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist David Savitz,
"to focus on the frontiers of existing knowledge and make recommendations
about how to extend those frontiers" (1).
Hence, the papers do not necessarily reflect the views of HEI or the
project's sponsors, which was intended. Neither was it our goal to achieve
a uniformity of style or presentation; rather, we encouraged the working
groups to define independently both the specific issues they would address
and the manner in which they would address them. The resulting documents
are a collection of papers that reflect each author's views as they emerged
from collective discussion with members of their working group and the review
process described above.
Each collection of papers offers thoughtful overviews, insightful critiques
of current practice, and useful recommendations. The Working Group leaders
have summarized the main conclusions and recommendations offered by their
working groups in separate chapters of each document (1-5).
Several papers in the "Methodologic Issues" document address
the critical problem of measurement error in the characterization of exposure
and argues for a reexamination of the potential contribution of ecologic
or aggregate level studies in environmental epidemiology. Hatch and Thomas
(6) critically discuss a variety of methods available to the epidemiologist
to characterize environmental exposure and dose including pharmacokinetic
and other models based on explicit biologic theories, sensitivity analyses,
and study designs for increasing the precision of exposure measurement.
Prentice and Thomas (7) review the statistical approaches available
to account for measurement error. The articles by Morgenstern and Thomas
(8) and Prentice and Thomas (7) argue for increased efforts
in methods research on the theory, design, and conduct of aggregate level
studies for understanding and reducing the acknowledged biases that impede
the use of a potentially informative and efficient approach. Greenland (9)
reviews the theoretical and practical issues that make the epidemiologic
measurement of the effect of multiple exposures so difficult and concludes
that a focus on the effects of the exposure mixture, rather than on the
separate effects of its constituents, may be all that can be accomplished
in most circumstances.
The current scientific interest in the health effects of electric and
magnetic fields stems mostly from epidemiologic observations of increased
rates of leukemias and central nervous system cancers among children exposed
in the home and among certain occupational groups. The "Electric and
Magnetic Fields" document offers comprehensive and critical reviews
of existing knowledge about electric and magnetic fields (EMF) health effects
in two areas that have, until now, received limited attention: adverse reproductive
outcomes (10) and neurobehavioral effects (11). In addition,
Kaune provides a comprehensive background discussion of the technical aspects
of the measurement of fields (12) and then addresses the critical
area of exposure characterization and measurement (13) in the context
of epidemiologic research.
The collected papers in the "Indoor Air and Other Complex Mixtures"
document considers the daunting task of epidemiologically studying the effects
of simultaneous exposure to multiple pollutants. An important point addressed
at length by Leaderer, et al. (14) is that improving the quality
of exposure measurement would increase the informativeness of studies of
multiple exposures. This echoes the views of Hatch and Thomas (6)
and is emphasized by Greenland (9).
The health effects of tropospheric (ground level) ozone have been and
remain an area of intense research activity for HEI and other organizations.
Nevertheless, it is an area in which epidemiologic research on its long-term
exposure effects is lacking and desperately needed. The collected papers
in the "Tropospheric Ozone" document offers a perspective on future
epidemiologic research, expounded in particular by Tager (4), that
focuses on understanding the pathophysiologic processes and subclinical
abnormalities that may constitute a relation between exposure and chronic
disease. Balmes (15) critically reexamines the evidence, often viewed
as conflicting, in search of a relation between the exacerbation of asthma
(e.g., increased attack rates) and exposure to ozone, and he argues for
more research on this subject.
It is noteworthy that because the planning project documents are diverse
by design common threads run through them. As noted above, all four documents
emphasize the need for methodologic advances in the measurement and characterization
of environmental exposures for epidemiologic research. This common emphasis
should not be surprising to epidemiologists, who have acknowledged that
for a long time exposure assessment is the critical weakness in environmental
epidemiology. Another recurring theme is the need to integrate observational
epidemiologic research with experimental biologic and clinical research.
In "Indoor Air and Other Complex Mixtures," Mauderly addresses
the respective roles of toxicologic and epidemiologic research (16),
Wilcosky examines the use of laboratory-derived markers of early disease
(17), and McDonnell examines the incorporation of controlled human
exposure studies into epidemiologic research protocols (18). The
theme of integration of knowledge from experimental biology and epidemiology
appears again in "Electric and Magnetic Fields," in which Stevens
(19) proposes biologically based epidemiologic research on the carcinogenicity
of electric and magnetic fields and in "Tropospheric Ozone," in
which Devlin (20) discusses possible approaches to the development
of biologic markers of exposure to ozone and early effects of this exposure.
Balmes (15) proposes the incorporation of controlled human exposure
experiments within observational study designs. In "Methodologic Issues,"
Hatch and Thomas (6) stress the need for the development of epidemiologically
useful biologic markers of exposure and call the attention of biologists
and epidemiologists to the necessary characteristics of such markers and
potential pitfalls in their use.
The planning project was a cooperative venture between HEI and members
of the environmental epidemiology research community. Project oversight
was provided by a steering committee that included members of the HEI Research
and Review Committees (Appendix C), several of whom served as observers
and liaisons between the working groups and HEI staff. The EPA and a diverse
group of private sector organizations (Appendix D) provided financial support
for the project. Scientists recommended by the sponsoring organizations
served as observers and liaisons between the sponsors and the working groups
(Appendix A) and offered advice and commentary throughout the project.
The planning project documents already have made a valuable contribution
to research planning at HEI. We hope that others will find them thought-provoking
and useful for planning environmental health research.
APPENDICIES
Appendix A: Working Group Members, HEI Environmental Epidemiology Planning
Project
Authors of the Working Group on Methodologic Issues. Kenneth J.
Rothman, Working Group leader, editor, Epidemiology; Maureen O. Hatch, Columbia
University School of Public Health; Hal Morgenstern, UCLA School of Public
Health; Raymond Neutra, California Department of Health Services; Ross L.
Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Duncan Thomas, University
of Southern California; and Dimitrios Trichopoulos, Harvard School of Public
Health.
HEI Steering Committee Liaisons of the Working Group on Methodologic
Issues. Richard Remington, University of Iowa and John Tukey, Princeton
University.
Sponsor Observers and Liaisons of the Working Group on Methodologic
Issues. John F. Aquavella, Monsanto Company and Gerhard K. Raabe, Mobil
Oil Corporation.
Authors of the Working Group on Electric and Magnetic Fields. David
A. Savitz, Working Group leader, University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill; William T. Kaune, EM Factors; Nigel Paneth, Michigan State University;
Gary Shaw, March of Dimes, California Birth Defects Monitoring Program;
Jack Siemiatycki, Institut Armand-Frappier; and Richard Stevens, Battelle
Pacific Northwest Laboratories.
HEI Steering Committee Liaison of the Working Group on Electric and
Magnetic Fields. Arthur Upton, New York University.
Sponsor Observers and Liaisons of the Working Group on Electric and
Magnetic Fields. Donald A. Greschaw, Ford Motor Company and an alternate,
Rebecca Calderon, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
Authors of the Working Group on Indoor Air and Other Complex Mixtures.
Jonathan M. Samet, Working Group leader, University of New Mexico Cancer
Center; Frank Speizer, Working Group leader, Harvard Medical School; Douglas
Dockery, Harvard School of Public Health; Sander Greenland, UCLA School
of Public Health; Brian Leaderer, Yale University; Paul Lioy, UMDNJ-Robert
Wood Johnson Medical School; Joe Mauderly, Inhalation Toxicology Research
Institute; William F. McDonnell, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Carl
Shy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; John Spengler, Harvard
School of Public Health; Noel Weiss, University of Washington; and Timothy
Wilcosky, Research Triangle Institute.
HEI Steering Committee Liaisons of the Working Group on Indoor Air
and Other Complex Mixtures. Leon Gordis, Johns Hopkins University; Curtis
Harris, National Cancer Institute; and Mark Utell, University of Rochester
Medical Center.
Sponsor Observers and Liaisons of the Working Group on Indoor Air
and Other Complex Mixtures. Irwin H. Billick, Gas Research Institute;
Robert S. Dyer, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; and alternates Neil
C. Hawkins, Dow Chemical Company and Ronald E. Wyzga, Electrical Power Research
Institute.
Authors of the Working Group on Tropospheric Ozone. Ira Tager,
Working Group leader, Veterans Administration Medical Center; John Balmes,
San Francisco General Hospital; David Bates, Vancouver, British Columbia,
Canada; Robert Devlin, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Morton Lippmann,
New York University; Alvaro Muñoz, Johns Hopkins School of Hygiene
and Public Health; and Bart D. Ostro, California Department of Health Services.
HEI Steering Committee Liaison of the Working Group on Tropospheric
Ozone. Millicent Higgins, National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute.
Sponsor Observers and Liaisons of the Working Group on Tropospheric
Ozone. Jaroslav J. Vostal, General Motors Corporation and Barbara Divine,
Texaco, Inc.
Appendix B: Reviewers
Methodologic Issues. John Bailar, McGill University; Lewis Kuller,
University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health; and James H. Ware, Harvard
School of Public Health.
Electric and Magnetic Fields. Gareth Green, Harvard School of
Public Health; Charles Poole, Boston University School of Public Health;
and Roy Shore, New York University Medical Center, Institute of Environmental
Medicine.
Indoor Air and Other Complex Mixtures. Nathaniel Cobb, Centers
for Disease Control-CEHIC; Ruth Etzel, Centers for Disease Control-CEHIC;
Henry Falk, Centers for Disease Control-CEHIC; William E. Fayerweather,
DuPont Company; Bernard Goldstein, Environmental and Community Medicine,
UMDNJ, Robert Wood Johnson Medical School; David Mannino, Centers for Disease
Control; and Roger McClellan, Chemical Industry Institute of Toxicology.
Tropospheric Ozone. Joseph D. Brain, Harvard School of Public
Health; Patricia Buffler, University of California at Berkeley; and Roger
Detels, UCLA School of Public Health.
Appendix C: Project Oversight
HEI Steering Committee. Leon Gordis, chairman, Johns Hopkins University,
School of Public Health; Curtis Harris, National Cancer Institute; Millicent
Higgins, National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute; Richard Remington, University
of Iowa; John Tukey, Princeton University; Arthur Upton, New York University;
and Mark Utell, University of Rochester Medical Center.
HEI Staff. Aaron J. Cohen, staff scientist; Noreen S. Manzo, administrative
coordinator; Kathleen M. Nauss, director for scientific review and evaluation;
Andrew Sivak, recent president (1989-1992); and Jane Warren, director
of research.
Appendix D: Project Sponsors
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, The American Petroleum Institute,
The Engine Manufacturers Association, The Motor Vehicles Manufacturers Association,
The Chemical Manufacturers Association, The Electrical Power Research Institute,
and The Gas Research Institute.